[Sudan] Strategic developments: Change to group/activity

Summary

Single-source ACLED detection — awaiting independent verification. Reports indicate 20,000 Rapid Support Forces (RSF) personnel graduated from training in Domia, South Darfur on April 2, 2025. This represents a significant expansion of RSF military capacity in a region already experiencing ongoing conflict.

Supply chain impact

No commodities or chokepoints are directly mapped to this event; second-order effects depend on how the situation escalates and whether increased RSF presence leads to expanded territorial control or intensified conflict in South Darfur.

Watch points

• Monitor for independent confirmation of the reported troop graduation and potential deployment patterns
• Track any escalation in conflict activity in South Darfur that could affect regional trade routes or humanitarian access