Country supply chain risk

Risk scores from 30-day incident counts. Click any country for the full profile.

How to interpret country risk pages

Country exposure in supply-chain analysis is not the same as political risk alone. TremorWatch looks at each country as a node in a larger production and logistics network. A storm in a coastal economy, a power shortage in an industrial cluster, a drought in an agricultural exporter, or a regulatory change in a mineral-producing state can all create very different forms of disruption. The country index helps readers see where recent public signals are clustering and which economies deserve closer monitoring.

The score shown for each country is a directional indicator, not a credit rating or investment recommendation. It is influenced by recent event volume, event severity, affected sectors, and proximity to commodities or chokepoints that are important for global trade. A country with many low-severity events may rank differently from a country with one high-impact event near a critical port or resource basin.

Use these pages as a starting point for due diligence. Analysts should compare the country signal with supplier locations, inventory buffers, alternative sourcing options, customs constraints, and local news. The most useful insight often comes from combining a country page with a commodity page and a chokepoint page, then asking whether the same risk appears in more than one part of the network.

Top 10 by risk

AUCRITICAL
Australia
100/ 100 · 38 events
CACRITICAL
Canada
100/ 100 · 26 events
CNCRITICAL
China
100/ 100 · 20 events
FRCRITICAL
France
100/ 100 · 16 events
INCRITICAL
India
100/ 100 · 31 events
IRCRITICAL
Iran
100/ 100 · 16 events
ILCRITICAL
Israel
100/ 100 · 33 events
NGCRITICAL
Nigeria
100/ 100 · 29 events
PKCRITICAL
Pakistan
100/ 100 · 18 events
RUCRITICAL
Russia
100/ 100 · 38 events

Central Africa

Cameroon
Central African Republic
ChadMEDIUM
DR CongoHIGH
Equatorial Guinea
Gabon
Republic of the Congo
Sao Tome and Principe

Central America

Bahamas
Barbados
Belize
Costa RicaMEDIUM
CubaMEDIUM
Dominican RepublicMEDIUM
El Salvador
GuatemalaLOW
Haiti
HondurasLOW
Jamaica
NicaraguaMEDIUM
Panama
Trinidad and Tobago

Central Asia

KazakhstanMEDIUM
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Uzbekistan

East Africa

AngolaHIGH
BotswanaLOW
Burundi
Comoros
Djibouti
Eritrea
Eswatini
EthiopiaHIGH
KenyaMEDIUM
Lesotho
Madagascar
MalawiMEDIUM
Mauritius
MozambiqueCRITICAL
Namibia
Rwanda
Seychelles
Somalia
South AfricaHIGH
TanzaniaHIGH
Uganda
ZambiaMEDIUM
Zimbabwe

East Asia

ChinaCRITICAL
Hong Kong
JapanHIGH
Macau
MongoliaLOW
North KoreaLOW
South KoreaLOW
Taiwan

Europe

AlbaniaCRITICAL
Austria
Belarus
BelgiumMEDIUM
Bosnia and Herzegovina
BulgariaMEDIUM
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
FinlandMEDIUM
FranceCRITICAL
GermanyHIGH
GreeceCRITICAL
Hungary
Iceland
IrelandMEDIUM
ItalyMEDIUM
Kosovo
Latvia
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Malta
Moldova
Montenegro
NetherlandsCRITICAL
North Macedonia
NorwayHIGH
Poland
Portugal
Romania
RussiaCRITICAL
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
SpainHIGH
SwedenLOW
SwitzerlandMEDIUM
UkraineCRITICAL
United KingdomCRITICAL

Middle East

BahrainMEDIUM
IranCRITICAL
IraqMEDIUM
IsraelCRITICAL
JordanLOW
Kuwait
LebanonMEDIUM
Oman
Palestine
Qatar
Saudi ArabiaCRITICAL
SyriaMEDIUM
TurkeyCRITICAL
United Arab EmiratesMEDIUM
YemenCRITICAL

North Africa

AlgeriaMEDIUM
Egypt
LibyaLOW
Morocco
South Sudan
SudanHIGH
Tunisia

North America

CanadaCRITICAL
MexicoCRITICAL
United StatesCRITICAL

Oceania

AustraliaCRITICAL
FijiLOW
French Polynesia
New Caledonia
New ZealandMEDIUM
Papua New GuineaMEDIUM
Samoa
Solomon Islands
Tonga
Vanuatu

South America

ArgentinaLOW
BoliviaLOW
BrazilCRITICAL
Chile
ColombiaHIGH
EcuadorMEDIUM
Guyana
Paraguay
PeruLOW
Suriname
Uruguay
VenezuelaHIGH

South Asia

AfghanistanCRITICAL
BangladeshMEDIUM
Bhutan
IndiaCRITICAL
Maldives
Nepal
PakistanCRITICAL
Sri Lanka

Southeast Asia

Brunei
CambodiaLOW
IndonesiaCRITICAL
Laos
Malaysia
MyanmarLOW
PhilippinesMEDIUM
SingaporeMEDIUM
ThailandCRITICAL
Timor-Leste
VietnamMEDIUM

West Africa

Benin
Burkina Faso
Cabo Verde
Côte d'Ivoire
Gambia
GhanaMEDIUM
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Liberia
MaliLOW
Mauritania
NigerMEDIUM
NigeriaCRITICAL
Senegal
Sierra Leone
Togo