On 14 March 2025, Ukrainian military carried out 7 drone strikes and shelled 1 time with 1 (likely) artillery shell 7 locations across the Belgorodskiy district, including the village of Yasnyye Zori (Belgorod). Russian military shot down 4 drones, likely causing the debris to fall over the settlements. In Yasnyye Zori, 2 houses and 1 outbuilding were damaged. Across 7 locations: No casualties.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Ukrainian forces conducted drone attacks and artillery strikes on 7 areas in Russia's Belgorodsky district, but there were no casualties and only partial damage to residential facilities. Russian forces successfully defended by shooting down 4 drones, assessed as medium-level risk.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Belgorod region is a key agricultural and steel production hub in western Russia, and while this was a small-scale attack, security concerns for regional production facilities are increasing
• Safety degradation of transportation routes in areas adjacent to the Ukrainian border continues to create upward pressure on logistics costs
• If drone attack patterns spread, potential production disruptions across western Russia's industrial zones
• No direct strikes on civilian infrastructure so far, limiting immediate supply disruption risks

3) Watch points

• Operational status of major steel and chemical plants in Belgorod region and whether additional attacks occur
• Trends in transportation route changes and insurance premium increases among logistics companies in western Russia
• Potential for expansion to Russia's inland industrial zones if Ukraine increases frequency of long-range drone attacks