On 14 March 2025, Ukrainian military carried out 3 drone strikes and shelled 4 times with 21 (likely) artillery shells 7 locations across the Shebekinskiy district, including the village of Terezovka (Belgorod). Across 7 locations: No casualties, Russian military also shot down 19 drones.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Ukrainian forces conducted 3 drone attacks and 4 artillery strikes (21 rounds) in the Shebekinsky district of Belgorod Oblast. Seven areas were hit with no casualties reported, and Russian forces shot down 19 drones. This represents a medium-level security risk demonstrating ongoing military tensions in border-adjacent regions.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Belgorod Oblast is a major Russian agricultural region, with potential temporary disruptions to grain and agricultural product production and distribution
• Continued instability of logistics routes in the Ukraine-Russia border region increases the need to bypass overland transportation networks
• Re-emergence of security risks for energy infrastructure (gas pipelines, power grids) in western Russian regions
• Transportation constraints on the adjacent Kharkiv-Belgorod corridor increase pressure to seek alternative transport routes

3) Watch points

• Trends in frequency and intensity of attacks in border regions including Belgorod Oblast and adjacent Kursk Oblast
• Whether agricultural facilities and energy infrastructure in western Russian regions are hit and the scale of operational disruptions
• Changes in logistics volumes crossing the Ukraine-Russia border and fluctuations in bypass route utilization rates