On 14 March 2025, Ukrainian military carried out 10 drone strikes and shelled 2 times with 8 (likely) artillery shells 6 locations across the Krasnoyaruzhskiy district, including the village of Repyakhovka (Belgorod). Across 6 locations: No casualties, Russian military shot down 4 drones.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Ukrainian forces launched an attack on 6 regions in Russia's Belgorod Oblast Krasnoyaruzhsky District with 10 drones and 8 artillery rounds. Russian forces shot down 4 drones and there were no casualties, but continuous attacks in border areas confirm medium-level supply-chain risks.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Belgorod Oblast is a major Russian agricultural region with potential indirect impact on grain production and export routes for wheat, sunflower oil and other grains
• Exposure of potential vulnerabilities in border region transport infrastructure and logistics networks increases instability of Russian raw material export routes
• Repeated border region attacks create ongoing operational risks for industrial facilities and agricultural activities in the area
• If drone attack patterns expand, concerns over disruption to logistics and production activities across western Russia overall

3) Watch points

• Trends in frequency and intensity of additional attacks in Russian border regions including Belgorod Oblast
• Whether direct damage occurs to major industrial facilities, storage facilities, and transportation infrastructure in the region
• Russian government moves to strengthen border region security and announcements of logistics route diversion plans