On 14 March 2025, in Ta Tan Ku village (Kawkareik township, Kawkareik district, Kayin state), the Karen National Liberation Army and allies attacked the Myanmar military troops based in a monastery. The Myanmar military fired heavy weapons and conducted airstrikes and drone strikes. Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, armed clashes occurred between the Karen National Liberation Army (KNLA) and Myanmar government forces in the Kokaraik area of Kayin State, Myanmar. Fighting intensified as government forces responded with heavy weapons, airstrikes, and drone attacks, though specific casualty figures have not been confirmed. The conflict near the Thai border is assessed as medium-grade risk.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Myanmar-Thailand border logistics: Kokaraik is a major border crossing area, with risks of disrupted overland transport routes and customs delays between the two countries
• Agricultural supplies: Kayin State is a major production region for rice, rubber and other agricultural products, with potential disruptions to local production and distribution networks
• Manufacturing raw materials: Increased instability in Thai manufacturers' procurement routes for Myanmar-sourced raw materials (timber, minerals, etc.)
• Energy infrastructure: Rising security risks to regional power transmission networks and natural gas pipelines, spreading energy supply uncertainties

3) Watch points

• Track operational status of Kokaraik-Myawaddy border checkpoint and changes in customs processing volumes
• Monitor expansion of clashes between KNLA and government forces and security situation in Thai border areas