Myanmar
Myanmar (MM)CRITICALSoutheast Asia · pop. 54,410,000 · GDP 65,093 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Current status
Myanmar's risk environment has deteriorated sharply over the last 30 days, with 54 recorded incidents dominated by critical-severity events (27 of 54). Military operations involving conventional and chemical weapons have escalated across key regions including Mandalay, Magway, Sagain, and Kachin State. The concentration of high-impact events signals an intensifying conflict that is disrupting normal economic activity and infrastructure.
Supply chain impact
- Natural gas exports face immediate disruption risk as military operations concentrate in Magway region, a key energy production area with pipeline infrastructure connecting to regional markets.
- Rare earth mineral supply chains are under severe stress, with mining operations in conflict-affected northern regions (Kachin State) experiencing operational shutdowns and transport route blockages.
- Textile manufacturing for international buyers is experiencing production delays and facility closures, particularly affecting garment supply chains serving European and North American markets.
- Cross-border trade with China and Thailand faces mounting delays as security deteriorates along traditional smuggling and legitimate trade corridors.
- Ruby and gemstone exports continue despite conflict, but mining operations in war-affected areas carry elevated operational and reputational risks for international buyers.
Watch points
- Monitor pipeline infrastructure targeting in Magway region, as energy export disruptions could affect regional natural gas supplies within 2-3 weeks.
- Track escalation patterns in Mandalay and surrounding areas, where repeated chemical weapons incidents indicate potential for broader industrial area shutdowns.
- Watch for international sanctions expansion targeting Myanmar's natural resource exports, particularly rare earth minerals critical to technology supply chains.
Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Goods produced with forced / child labor (US DoL 2024)
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- CRITICALEconomic blockade in Rakhine State, Myanmar2026-06-01
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in MM (61 detections)2026-05-29
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Chin State, Myanmar2026-05-28
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in MM (25 detections)2026-05-27
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in MM (48 detections)2026-05-25
- HIGHArrest/detain in Mon State, Myanmar2026-05-23
- HIGHArrest/detain in Sagain, Myanmar2026-05-22
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in MM (48 detections)2026-05-22
- HIGHArrest/detain in Sagain, Myanmar2026-05-22
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in MM (157 detections)2026-05-21
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in MM (320 detections)2026-05-20
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in MM (173 detections)2026-05-19
- HIGHOrange earthquake (Magnitude 5.2M, Depth:10km) in Myanmar 18/05/2026 02:05 UTC, 10.8 million in 100km2026-05-18
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in MM (77 detections)2026-05-18
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Yangon, Myanmar2026-05-18
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in MM (64 detections)2026-05-17
- HIGHArrest/detain in Myanmar2026-05-17
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in MM (78 detections)2026-05-16
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Mandalay, Myanmar2026-05-15
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in MM (71 detections)2026-05-15
Related News (17)
- Myanmars Vanishing Villagesslguardian.org·2026-06-01
Economic blockade reported in Sittwe, Rakhine State, Myanmar. Actors: ARMED GROUP, MYANMAR. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 8 sources.
- Junta Plans Rebuild Buildings it Previously Destroyed Northern Chin Statebnionline.net·2026-05-28
Use conventional military force reported in Chin State, Chin State, Myanmar. Actors: JUNTA, MYANMAR. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Athan Report Highlights Severe Suppression Free Speech During Myanmar Juntas Electionbnionline.net·2026-05-23
Arrest/detain reported in Kyaikto, Mon State, Myanmar. Actors: MILITARY, MON STATE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 7 sources.
- Youths Yangon Fear Arrests Amid Forced Military Recruitment Drivebnionline.net·2026-05-22
Arrest/detain reported in Myothit, Sagain, Myanmar. Actors: NEIGHBOURHOOD, MYANMAR. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Rohingya Massacre no Justice in Myanmarmiragenews.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Arakan, Yangon, Myanmar. Actors: MYANMAR, CIVILIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Transnational Drug Network Busted Myanmar Kingpin Arrested in Delhitimesofindia.indiatimes.com·2026-05-17
Arrest/detain reported in Myanmar. Actors: DELHI, MYANMAR. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Over Human Rights Violations Reported in Yangon Sagaing Magway And Naypyidaw in One Yearkarennews.org·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Naypyidaw, Mandalay, Myanmar. Actors: SAGAING. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Will Asean Step up on Universal Jurisdictionjusticeinfo.net·2026-05-15
Show of force reported in Aung Hlaing, Ayeyarwady, Myanmar. Actors: MYANMAR. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 6 sources.
- 90 Chinese Telecom Scammers Arrested Matmanbnionline.net·2026-05-15
Arrest/detain reported in Mong Pan, Shan State, Myanmar. Actors: SHAN STATE, TELECOM. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Usps Considers Allowing People to Ship Handguns Through The Mailknpr.org·2026-05-12
Chemical weapons used reported in Mandalay, Mandalay, Myanmar. Actors: NEVADA, MANDALAY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Rare Ruby Unearthed Myanmarnbcsandiego.com·2026-05-11
Use conventional military force reported in Palaung, Magway, Myanmar. Actors: MANDALAY, INDUSTRY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 27 sources.
- Arguing Couple Set Clothes on Fire Destroying Two Houses in Myanmar039s Myitkyina Townshipthestar.com.my·2026-05-10
Assault reported in Myitkyina, Kachin State, Myanmar. Actors: MYANMAR. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 7 sources.
- a Massive Carat Ruby Has Been Unearthed in Myanmars War Scarred Gemstone Heartlandeastidahonews.com·2026-05-10
Use conventional military force reported in Palaung, Magway, Myanmar. Actors: MANDALAY, INDUSTRY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- United States Postal Service Considers Allowing People Ship Handguns Mailabc13.com·2026-05-09
Chemical weapons used reported in Mandalay, Mandalay, Myanmar. Actors: NEVADA, MANDALAY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Military force (coercive) in Mandalay, Myanmarhome.nzcity.co.nz·2026-05-08
Military force (coercive) reported in Mandalay, Mandalay, Myanmar. Actors: MYANMAR, POLITICAL PRISONER. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Myanmar Based Kuki Ultras Attack Naga Villages in Manipurthehindu.com·2026-05-07
Use conventional military force reported in Kuki, Sagain, Myanmar. Actors: MYANMAR, VILLAGE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Usps Considers Allowing People to Ship Handguns Through The Mailwinnipegfreepress.com·2026-05-07
Chemical weapons used reported in Mandalay, Mandalay, Myanmar. Actors: NEVADA, MANDALAY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.