LOWacled · L2 · strategic2025-03-14

Property destruction: Around 14 March 2025 (week of), the Counter-Terrorism Service carried out an operation in Salah Al Din governorate (coded as Tikrit city, Salah Al Din), destroying 4 hideouts and 3 caves used by ISIL militants.

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AI Brief

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, Iraqi Joint Operations Command conducted a sweep operation in Salah al-Din province, destroying 4 ISIL militant hideouts and 3 caves. This is assessed as a preventive government measure to improve the regional security situation, with limited direct supply-chain disruptions.

2) Supply-chain impact

  • Energy sector: Salah al-Din province is near Iraq's major oil production regions, and suppressing terrorist activities is positive for improving the security environment of oil production facilities in the medium to long term
  • Overland transport routes: Tikrit is a strategic city on the major overland transportation axis between Baghdad and Mosul, and regional security enhancement contributes to the stability of northern logistics routes
  • Construction & infrastructure: Possibility of increased local construction material demand due to large-scale destruction operations exists, but scale is limited
  • Agriculture sector: Improved security in Salah al-Din province's grain production areas is expected to enhance agricultural transport conditions going forward

3) Watch points

  • Whether ISIL forces attempt retaliatory attacks and the status of additional counter-terrorism operations in the region
  • Changes in overall security indices in northern Iraq and trends in international energy companies' investment resumption
  • Progress in normalizing logistics flows on the Baghdad-Mosul transportation axis and transportation cost fluctuation trends

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