On 15 March 2025, Turkish army forces carried out shelling against PKK militants in the Gire Bahar area (Al Amadiya, Duhok). Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary

On March 15, 2025, Turkish forces conducted artillery operations against PKK militants in the Al-Amadiya area of Duhok Province in northern Iraq. This represents a moderate-level military conflict occurring in border areas within the Iraqi Kurdistan Region (KRG), with casualty figures unconfirmed.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Northern Iraq oil infrastructure risk: Duhok Province lies along the Iraq-Turkey crude oil pipeline route, with potential energy transport network instability if military operations persist
• Turkey-Iraq border logistics delays: Enhanced security measures along overland trade routes between the two countries raise concerns of delays in commercial transport and customs procedures
• Kurdistan Region construction materials supply chain: Potential temporary disruptions to transport of steel, cement and other materials for local construction projects
• Indirect agricultural sector impact: Rural area instability during spring planting season may disrupt grain production plans and delay supply of agricultural machinery parts

3) Watch points

• Turkey-PKK conflict escalation: Risk of comprehensive border logistics network paralysis if additional military operations occur in nearby areas over the next 2-4 weeks
• Iraq-Turkey pipeline utilization rates: Need to monitor Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline daily throughput and operational suspension announcements