On 14 March 2025, Turkish army warplanes conducted airstrikes targeting the eastern part of the Metina region (Al Amadiya, Duhok). Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

Summary On March 14, 2025, Turkish forces conducted airstrikes in the eastern Metina region of Iraq's Dohuk province, with casualty figures remaining unconfirmed. This moderate-level military operation in Iraq's northern Kurdish region is assessed as an extension of Turkey's cross-border anti-PKK operations.

Supply-chain impact

• Increased potential risks to northern Iraq's oil production and pipeline facilities - the Metina region is adjacent to the Iraq-Turkey oil pipeline
• Possible temporary disruption of overland logistics routes between Turkey and Iraq - a significant portion of the annual $20 billion in bilateral trade transits through this region
• Expected upward pressure on international crude oil prices and logistics costs if Middle East geopolitical instability spreads
• Dohuk province is one of Iraq's agricultural production hubs, potentially affecting agricultural sector investment and export plans

Watch points

• Need to monitor whether Turkey conducts additional military operations and the response level from Iraq's central government and Kurdish Regional Government
• Required tracking of Iraq-Turkey oil pipeline operations and whether crude oil export disruptions occur