[Brazil] Violence against civilians: Attack

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 20, 2025, armed clashes occurred between police and indigenous people at the Pataxó indigenous settlement in the Prado region of Bahia state, Brazil. Police conducted an operation to arrest armed individuals using tear gas and explosives, but no casualties were reported. This is assessed as a medium-level social instability situation.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Bahia agricultural production: The region is a major Brazilian agricultural area with potential disruptions to production of soybeans, corn, cotton and other agricultural products
• Indigenous land disputes: Land rights conflicts create long-term uncertainty for regional agricultural and livestock operations and land use
• Bahia logistics network: Concerns over temporary delays in regional road transport and agricultural collection and distribution processes
• Social tension spread: Risk of broader agricultural production area destabilization if indigenous-government conflicts spread to neighboring regions

3. Watch points

• Progress of subsequent negotiations between Pataxó people and government authorities and whether additional clashes occur
• Potential spread of similar incidents to other indigenous settlements within Bahia state and scale of regional agricultural production disruptions