On 16 March 2025, in Rio de Janeiro - South Zone (Rio de Janeiro), between 18,000 and 30,000 demonstrators protested to demand amnesty for those involved in the 8 January 2023 attacks in Brasilia (coded separately), in the Copacabana neighborhood. The event was called and attended by former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL), as well as the governors of Rio de Janeiro (PL), Sao Paulo (Republicanos), Santa Catarina (PL) and Mato Grosso (Union Party), senators from the Liberal Party (PL) and leaders of the Evangelical Church. Participants, wearing yellow shirts, also called for President Lula to step down and for Jair Bolsonaro to return to power. The demonstration blocked the stretch of Atlantica avenue between Barao de Ipanema and Xavier da Silveira streets. At the same time, another act of support took place in Sao Paulo (coded separately).

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 16, 2025, a peaceful demonstration of 18,000-30,000 people occurred in Copacabana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Led by former President Bolsonaro, it was a political rally demanding amnesty for those involved in the 2023 Brasília incident, classified as a low-risk peaceful protest.

2) Supply-chain impact

• While Rio de Janeiro is a major Brazilian port city, this demonstration took place in the Copacabana tourist area, limiting direct impact on port operations or logistics infrastructure
• Although major state governors (São Paulo, Santa Catarina, Mato Grosso) attended, the peaceful nature of the protest suggests no impact on agricultural and mining production activities in their respective states
• Despite the political tensions, this does not currently pose a substantive risk factor for the production and distribution of Brazil's major exports such as soybeans, iron ore, and sugar

3) Watch points

• Whether similar political gatherings will expand in scale and potentially spread to Brazil's major industrial regions
• Potential impact of deepening political polarization in Brazil on economic policy or foreign trade policy