On 16 March 2025, in Porto Alegre (Rio Grande do Sul), hundreds of supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) gathered in the Moinhos de Vento park to demand amnesty for those involved in the invasion of National Congress on 8 January 2023 and the resignation of President Lula (PT).

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 16, 2025, hundreds of supporters of former President Bolsonaro held peaceful protests in Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. The demonstrations called for amnesty for those involved in the January 8, 2023 congressional invasion and the resignation of President Lula. The protests have remained peaceful to date, representing a low-risk level.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Rio Grande do Sul agricultural production: Potential indirect impact on agricultural logistics if political instability persists in this region, which is one of Brazil's largest soybean-producing areas
• Porto Alegre port: A major export hub in southern Brazil for grains and agricultural products, but direct operational disruption is limited as protests remain peaceful
• Land transportation network: No current transportation disruptions as protest areas are confined to urban parks without direct connection to major highways or logistics hubs
• Political risk: Potential risk of future expansion into agricultural and mining policy changes or labor disputes if political polarization within Brazil deepens

3) Watch points

• Protest scale and spread: Whether protests expand to other major cities (São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro) and trends in participation scale
• Government response: Lula government's approach to handling protests and potential escalation of political tensions, particularly policy announcements related to agriculture and mining