On 19 March 2025, the Angolan Armed Forces (FAC) shot and killed 4 teenagers and arrested other 6 civilians at Ntando-Maselele village in the region of Belize (location coded to Belize, Belize, Cabinda). FLEC-FLAC accused forces of targeting civilians. Motivation unknown/not reported.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 19, 2025, Angolan government forces (FAC) conducted an attack targeting civilians in the Belize area of Cabinda Province, Angola, resulting in 10 casualties. The separatist movement organization FLEC-FLAC has condemned the government forces' targeting of civilians, escalating political tensions in the region. As Cabinda Province is a critical hub for Angola's oil production, the supply-chain ramifications require close monitoring.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Crude oil production risk: Cabinda Province accounts for over 60% of Angola's crude oil production, and continued political instability could disrupt oil facility operations and exports
• Maritime shipping route impact: Cabinda holds major oil export terminals along the West African coast, and deteriorating security conditions could delay maritime logistics transport
• Foreign investment company operations: Multinational oil companies including Chevron and Total operate large-scale operations in Cabinda, and increased security threats could lead to reduced production activities or personnel evacuation considerations
• Regional logistics infrastructure: Escalating conflict between separatist organizations and government forces could constrain access to basic infrastructure including roads and ports

3. Watch points

• FLEC-FLAC follow-up response: Whether the separatist organization launches retaliatory attacks or expands anti-government activities, and the government's additional military operation plans
• Oil production facility security: Security enhancement measures and operational suspension signals for major oil production platforms and pipeline facilities located in Cabinda