Wildfire in Myanmar — Green alert

Supply-chain Risk Briefing: Myanmar Forest Fires

1) Summary Myanmar experienced moderate-intensity forest fires that persisted for approximately 2 weeks from March 31 to April 15. The fires occurred at the end of the dry season and are estimated to have impacted agricultural and forestry resources, with potential temporary disruptions to logistics infrastructure within Myanmar.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural supply instability — Concerns over reduced yields and quality deterioration when fires occur near Myanmar's major rice-producing regions
• Timber and pulp raw material disruptions — Potential temporary suspension of timber supply chains and increased raw material procurement costs due to forest fires
• Overland logistics delays — Delays in cross-border logistics movements due to temporary closure of roads passing through fire-affected areas
• Air quality deterioration — Indirect impact on production activities and labor availability in nearby manufacturing regions

3) Watch points

• Fire suppression completion confirmation — Continued monitoring needed for remaining embers and re-ignition after April 15
• Agricultural damage assessment — Verification of government-announced damage scale and crop production impact figures within the next 2-3 weeks