On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) multiple Ukrainian units, including marines (coded to Myrnohrad) and national guard (coded here), across several locations, some near Udachne, Donetsk. According to Russian sources, up to 465 Ukrainian soldiers were killed near Fillia, Petrivka, Udachne, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Pokrovsk and Uspenivka [Russian MoD reported 465 fatalities. Coded as 10 fatalities across 7 events. 2 fatalities coded to this event]. The Russian military lost 199 soldiers, 98 of them irreversibly, near Sukha Balka, Vodiane Druhe, Svyrydonivka, Promin, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Kotliarivka, Andriivka, Bohdanivka, Tarasivka, Hrodivka, Lysivka, Novopavlivka, Serhiivka and Udachne (98 fatalities split across 15 locations and coded as 6. Overall fatalities for this event coded as 8).

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Russian forces conducted large-scale shelling in the Pokrovsk area of Ukraine's Donetsk region. Simultaneous attacks occurred in 7 areas including Udachne, Myrnohrad, and Pokrovsk, with reported Ukrainian military casualties, escalating military tensions on the eastern front.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Pokrovsk in Donetsk region is a major Ukrainian coal production area, with continued military operations potentially having medium to long-term impacts on energy raw material supply
• Increased risk of operational shutdowns at eastern Ukraine industrial infrastructure (steel mills, chemical plants) raising concerns about disruptions to global steel and chemical raw material supply chains
• Deteriorating stability of overland transport routes among Ukraine's grain export routes may deepen dependence on Black Sea ports
• Continued instability in European energy supply chains due to prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict

3) Watch points

• Track industrial facility operation rates and railway/road transport network operations in the Pokrovsk area
• Monitor expansion of military operations in eastern Ukraine and safety of major logistics hubs