On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) multiple Ukrainian units, including marines (coded to Myrnohrad) and national guard (coded to Udachne), across several locations, some near Shevchenko, Donetsk. According to Russian sources, up to 465 Ukrainian soldiers were killed near Fillia, Petrivka, Udachne, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Pokrovsk and Uspenivka [Russian MoD reported 465 fatalities. Coded as 10 fatalities across 7 events. 1 fatality coded to this event].

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 14, 2025, Russian forces conducted artillery attacks on several areas in Ukraine's Donetsk Oblast (Myrnograd, Udachne, Shevchenko, Pokrovsk, etc.). Russia's Ministry of Defense announced 465 Ukrainian military casualties, and the region, being a major industrial zone in eastern Ukraine, continues to experience escalating military tensions.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural production disruption: Donetsk Oblast is a major grain-producing region in Ukraine, and continued shelling is expected to constrain spring planting agricultural activities, negatively impacting global grain supply
• Steel and coal production halt: The Pokrovsk area is a major coal production region in Ukraine, and Myrnograd is an industrial city, raising concerns about damage to related raw material production and transportation infrastructure
• Logistics network paralysis: Railway and road networks connecting major eastern cities are being severed due to military operations, further deteriorating Ukraine's inland logistics flow
• Energy supply instability: Continued threats to Donetsk Oblast's power infrastructure increase cascading risks to the stability of Ukraine's entire power grid

3. Watch points

• Front line movement: Need to track changes in military situation around the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd axis and their impact on accessibility to Ukraine's eastern industrial zones
• Alternative transport routes: Continue monitoring capacity limits and cost increases for western and southern bypass logistics routes