On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) multiple Ukrainian units, including marines (coded to Myrnohrad) and national guard (coded to Udachne), across several locations, some near Petrivka, Donetsk. According to Russian sources, up to 465 Ukrainian soldiers were killed near Fillia, Petrivka, Udachne, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Pokrovsk and Uspenivka [Russian MoD reported 465 fatalities. Coded as 10 fatalities across 7 events. 2 fatalities coded to this event].

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Russian forces conducted artillery strikes in multiple areas near Petriivka, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine, targeting Ukrainian Marine Corps and National Guard units. The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that up to 465 Ukrainian military casualties occurred in the areas of Piliia, Petriivka, Udachne, Myrnohrad, Shevchenko, Pokrovsk, Uspeniivka. High-intensity combat continues on the eastern front of Donetsk Oblast, creating elevated risks for logistics and infrastructure in the region.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Eastern Donetsk Oblast serves as a major coal and steel production hub for Ukraine, and ongoing combat is expected to cause disruptions in mineral resource extraction and transportation
• Pokrovsk is a key logistics hub in eastern Ukraine, and escalating combat in the area could create additional constraints on logistics network connections between western and eastern regions
• Direct and indirect damage to Donetsk Oblast's industrial infrastructure is expected to deepen European steel supply chains' dependence on alternative sourcing routes
• Expansion of combat areas raises concerns about negative impacts on the stability of Ukrainian grain export routes (particularly overland transportation)

3) Watch points

• Need to track changes in Pokrovsk and nearby transportation infrastructure conditions and monitor continuity of logistics connectivity between Ukraine's eastern and western regions
• Monitor follow-up information on operational shutdowns or damage scale to major industrial facilities (mines, steel mills, etc.) within Donetsk Oblast