On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) Novoraisk, Kherson. Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Russian forces shelled Novoraysk in Ukraine's Kherson Oblast, with the casualty count remaining unconfirmed. Kherson Oblast, a major agricultural hub in southern Ukraine, continues to face military attacks, presenting a medium-level supply-chain risk.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural production disruption: Kherson Oblast is a key grain-producing region in Ukraine, with shelling during spring planting season raising concerns about delays in agricultural activities
• Black Sea grain export route instability: Kherson Oblast's proximity to the Dnipro River estuary creates ongoing threats to grain transportation infrastructure
• Regional logistics network paralysis: Potential damage to road and rail infrastructure from shelling, with increasing avoidance of the region by transport companies
• Agricultural workforce safety concerns: Continuous shelling accelerating work stoppages and regional exodus of agricultural workers

3) Watch points

• Need to track frequency of additional military attacks within Kherson Oblast and whether agricultural infrastructure is directly targeted
• Continuous monitoring required of changes in Ukrainian grain export volumes and Black Sea grain corridor operations