On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) the Ukrainian military near Lyptsi, Kharkiv. According to Russian sources, up to 45 Ukrainian soldiers were killed near Vovchansk and Lyptsi [Russian MoD reported 45 fatalities. Coded as 10 fatalities across 2 events. 5 fatalities coded to this event].

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, a military clash occurred near Lyptsi in Ukraine's Kharkiv Oblast, where Russian shelling killed 5 Ukrainian soldiers. This region is adjacent to the Russia-Ukraine border and represents a hotspot with ongoing combat, confirming high-level security risks.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Northeastern Ukraine logistics network risk: Kharkiv Oblast is a major industrial hub in Ukraine, with ongoing combat causing transportation route blockades and deteriorating accessibility to production facilities
• Grain export route instability: Increased risks to agricultural production and collection/storage infrastructure in the Kharkiv region, with potential impact on Ukrainian grain exports
• Steel and chemical raw material supply disruption: Production disruptions at steel and chemical plants around Kharkiv creating risks to European supply chain links
• Energy infrastructure vulnerability: Risk of attacks on power and gas transmission facilities in border-adjacent areas causing regional energy supply instability

3) Watch points

• Expansion of Kharkiv-Russia border combat: Possibility of complete northeastern logistics network shutdown if additional military operations occur in the Lyptsi/Vovchansk area
• Changes in Ukrainian grain export volumes: Tracking the impact of agricultural region instability ahead of spring planting season on 2025 harvest yields and export plans