On 14 March 2025, Russian forces hit Karpovychi, Chernihiv, suspectedly with a FPV-drone. Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Russian forces attacked Karpovychi in Ukraine's Chernihiv Oblast with FPV drones, with casualty figures yet to be confirmed. Chernihiv Oblast, located in Ukraine's northern border region, remains under continuous air strikes, presenting a moderate level of supply-chain risk.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Potential disruption to Chernihiv Oblast agricultural production - The region is one of Ukraine's major grain-producing areas, with drone attacks during spring planting season negatively affecting agricultural activities
• Increased instability in northern Ukraine logistics networks - Due to proximity to the Russian border, transport companies face expanded need for rerouting
• Risk of operational suspension at local manufacturers and processing facilities - Ongoing drone attacks raise worker safety concerns and production disruptions
• Potential risks to energy infrastructure - Possibility of additional attacks on power grids and gas supply facilities within Chernihiv Oblast

3) Watch points

• Monitor frequency and damage scale of additional drone attacks within Chernihiv Oblast - Assess impact of changing attack patterns on regional production capacity
• Track development of logistics bypass routes in northern Ukraine and rising transportation cost trends