On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) multiple Ukrainian units, including territorial defence (coded to Kostiantynopil), across several locations, some near Fedorivka, Donetsk. According to Russian sources, up to 160 Ukrainian soldiers were killed near Andriivka-Klevtseve, Zelenyi Hai, Kostiantynopil, Fedorivka [Russian MoD reported 160 fatalities. Coded as 10 fatalities across 4 events. 2 fatalities coded to this event].

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 14, 2025, Russian forces conducted shelling in multiple areas near Fedorivka in Ukraine's Donetsk Oblast, resulting in numerous Ukrainian military casualties. Donetsk Oblast is a major industrial region in eastern Ukraine, and ongoing front-line activities are impacting the region's industrial infrastructure and logistics networks.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Continued paralysis of eastern Ukraine logistics networks — Access to transportation infrastructure and industrial facilities within Donetsk Oblast remains constrained due to combat, leading to sustained suspension of regional production activities
• Impact on Ukrainian grain export routes — Escalating combat in the eastern region is expected to increase Ukraine's reliance on western ports (Odesa, Chornomorsk) for grain exports
• Eastern European energy supply chain instability — Potential threats to power grids and gas pipeline facilities in eastern Ukraine continue to raise concerns about energy supply stability in Eastern Europe
• Steel raw material supply chain disruptions — As Donetsk Oblast is Ukraine's major steel production region, continued combat could potentially have indirect effects on global steel supply chains

3. Watch points

• Front-line change tracking — Monitoring changes in combat situations near major industrial cities (Mariupol, Kramatorsk) within Donetsk Oblast and the scale of damage to industrial facilities
• Ukrainian grain export volume fluctuations — Whether instability in the eastern region leads to increased grain export volumes via western ports and rising logistics costs