On 14 March 2025, Russian air forces struck Zvirove, Donetsk. Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 14, 2025, Russian forces conducted an airstrike on Zvirobе in Ukraine's Donetsk Oblast, resulting in explosions. The scale of casualties has not yet been confirmed, and this is assessed as a medium-level risk. The Donetsk region is Ukraine's eastern industrial zone and remains an area of continuous military operations.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural production: Donetsk Oblast is a major grain-producing region in Ukraine, with continued airstrikes potentially negatively impacting spring planting operations and agricultural infrastructure
• Steel/minerals: Risk of additional damage to steel production facilities and coal mining activities in eastern Ukraine's industrial zone
• Energy infrastructure: Continued vulnerability of regional power grids and gas pipelines and other energy supply chains
• Logistics networks: Deteriorating safety of road and rail transport routes within the Donetsk region, increasing risk of logistics disruption between eastern and western Ukraine

3. Watch points

• Need to track frequency of additional airstrikes within Donetsk Oblast and whether major industrial facilities are targeted
• Monitor potential impact propagation to Ukraine's grain export routes (Odesa port, Danube River route)
• Monitor changes in accessibility to eastern industrial zone based on shifts in the Russia-Ukraine front lines