On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) Zmiivka, Kherson. Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain risk briefing

Summary

On March 14, 2025, Russian forces shelled Zmiivka in Ukraine's Kherson region. This is classified as a medium-level explosive event, with casualties not yet confirmed. This case demonstrates ongoing military conflicts in southern Ukraine.

Supply-chain impact

• Kherson region is a major agricultural area in Ukraine that plays an important role in grain exports, and continued shelling is expected to negatively impact agricultural activities ahead of the spring planting season
• Continued instability in the Black Sea coastal region acts as an additional risk factor for the operation of maritime export routes for Ukrainian grain
• Potential threats to transportation infrastructure and logistics facilities in the Kherson region increase uncertainty in logistics networks transiting through southern Ukraine
• As the prolonged nature of the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues, concerns about supply-chain stability across the Eastern European region deepen

Watch points

• Additional military activities within Kherson region and whether civilian infrastructure is targeted, and trends in direct damage to agricultural facilities
• Changes in Ukraine grain export agreements and Black Sea maritime route operations, and international grain price movements