On 14 March 2025, Russian and Ukrainian military forces clashed near Shcherbaky, Zaporizhia. Russian drones and artillery struck Shcherbaky. Casualties unknown.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 14, 2025, Russian-Ukrainian military clashes occurred in the Shcherbaky area of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Ukraine. Russian drone and artillery attacks were confirmed, with casualty figures remaining unconfirmed. This is classified as a localized armed conflict situation with moderate risk.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural production disruption: Zaporizhzhia Oblast is a major grain-producing region in Ukraine, with potential disruptions to spring planting operations and agricultural infrastructure if fighting continues
• Energy facility risks: Located near the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, escalation of military activities could heighten concerns about European power supply chains
• Steel raw material supply: Zaporizhzhia is the center of Ukraine's steel industry, with potential impact on global supply of iron ore and steel products
• Transportation networks: Disruption of regional rail and road networks could partially affect logistics movement to Black Sea ports

3. Watch points

• Conflict escalation: Expansion of military operations to areas surrounding Shcherbaky and changes in Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant security situation
• Agricultural season impact: Degree of constraints on agricultural activities during the March-April spring planting season and changes in grain production outlook
• Energy infrastructure: Status of regional power grid and industrial facility shutdowns, and European energy market reactions