On 14 March 2025, Russian and Ukrainian military forces clashed near Kostiantynopil, Donetsk. Russian forces hit (likely by artillery as the most common event) multiple Ukrainian units, including territorial defence (coded here), across several locations, some near Kostiantynopil. According to Russian sources, up to 160 Ukrainian soldiers were killed near Andriivka-Klevtseve, Zelenyi Hai, Kostiantynopil, Fedorivka [Russian MoD reported 160 fatalities. Coded as 10 fatalities across 4 events. 2 fatalities coded to this event].

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, Russian-Ukrainian military clashes occurred near Kostiantynopil in Ukraine's Donetsk region. Russian forces conducted artillery attacks targeting multiple Ukrainian units including territorial defense forces, with the Russian Ministry of Defense announcing up to 160 Ukrainian military casualties. This represents a serious escalation classified as high-intensity armed conflict in the Donetsk region.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Donetsk region serves as a major steel and coal industry hub in Ukraine, with continued armed conflict potentially negatively affecting iron ore and coking coal production
• Increased risk of transportation infrastructure and logistics network disruption in eastern Ukraine, potentially hampering agricultural and manufactured goods export routes
• Concerns over production capacity decline due to industrial facility shutdowns and workforce displacement if combat areas expand
• Deteriorating stability of the Donetsk-Mariupol industrial axis adding indirect pressure to global steel supply chains

3) Watch points

• Need to track operational status and production disruptions at major steel production facilities in Donetsk region (Azovstal, Ilyich Steel Works, etc.)
• Monitoring required for Ukrainian grain export route changes and rising logistics costs trends
• Observation needed for signs of additional Russian-Ukrainian military operation expansion and civilian infrastructure targeting patterns