On 14 March 2025, Russian military forces lost 85 soldiers (likely as killed and wounded, fatalities coded as 42) in clashes with Ukrainian forces on the Southern operational direction (coded to Kherson, Kherson).

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, large-scale combat between Russian and Ukrainian forces occurred in Ukraine's Kherson region, confirming high-intensity armed conflict with 85 Russian casualties (estimated 42 deaths). Military tensions in the region have escalated to extreme levels due to intense fighting in the southern operational direction.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural production disruption in Kherson region: High-intensity combat in Kherson, a major Ukrainian grain production area, is expected to disrupt spring farming operations and shipment of existing stored grains
• Dnipro River basin logistics network risk: Kherson serves as a key logistics hub in the lower Dnipro River, with potential disruptions to inland waterway transport of agricultural products and steel goods
• Southern port access route instability: Increased security risks for overland transport routes from Kherson to Black Sea coastal ports (Odesa, Mykolaiv, etc.)
• Energy infrastructure vulnerability: Escalation of the southern front raises attack risks to regional power grid and gas pipeline facilities

3) Watch points

• Need to track damage scale and operational shutdown status of civilian infrastructure (ports, bridges, storage facilities) within Kherson region
• Required monitoring of Ukrainian grain export corridor operations and operational rate changes at Black Sea coastal ports