On 14 March 2025, Russian and Ukrainian military forces clashed near Andriivka, Donetsk. The Russian military lost 199 soldiers, 98 of them irreversibly, near Sukha Balka, Vodiane Druhe, Svyrydonivka, Promin, Pokrovsk, Kotlyne, Kotliarivka, Andriivka, Bohdanivka, Tarasivka, Hrodivka, Lysivka, Novopavlivka, Serhiivka and Udachne (98 fatalities split across 15 locations and coded as 7).

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary On March 14, 2025, large-scale armed clashes occurred between Russian and Ukrainian forces in the Andriivka area of Ukraine's Donetsk region. High-intensity combat unfolded with Russian forces recording 199 casualties (98 killed) across 15 areas, with fighting concentrated particularly near industrial centers such as Pokrovsk. This represents a high-grade risk situation indicating escalating combat intensity on the eastern Donetsk front.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Eastern Ukraine industrial infrastructure - Combat near industrial cities in the Donetsk region such as Pokrovsk increases risks of reduced accessibility and operational shutdowns at steel and coal-related production facilities
• Overland transport route blockages - Continued fighting on major road networks in eastern Donetsk makes detour transportation through Ukraine's inland logistics network unavoidable
• Energy supply instability - Concerns over energy supply disruptions to surrounding areas due to potential damage to power grids and gas pipelines in combat zones
• Agricultural production delays - Expected disruptions to grain production plans due to restricted access to farmland in combat areas during spring planting season

3) Watch points

• Need to monitor trends in industrial facility utilization rates and rail/road traffic volumes in the Pokrovsk area
• Continue observing whether fighting spreads across the eastern Donetsk front and threat levels to additional industrial centers