Green flood alert in Türkiye

Supply-chain Risk Briefing: Turkey Floods

1. Summary

Moderate flooding occurred in Turkey from April 5-7, but no casualties or displaced persons were reported. This is assessed as a relatively minor level of flooding, and the current situation appears to have stabilized.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural sector: As Turkey is a major agricultural exporter, spring flooding may have limited impact on sowing and early growth of wheat, barley, cotton and other crops
• Manufacturing base: Automotive, textile, and steel production facilities in Turkey's western industrial zones may experience temporary operational disruptions, but severity is low
• Logistics network: Short-term delays may occur in domestic road and rail transport, but impact on major ports (Istanbul, Izmir) is limited
• Energy infrastructure: Positive impact expected on hydroelectric power plant operations, with no major damage anticipated to key energy infrastructure such as gas pipelines

3. Watch points

• Follow-up weather conditions: Need to monitor additional rainfall forecasts and dam release plans over the next 1-2 weeks
• Agricultural damage assessment: Confirm official crop damage announcements from Turkey's Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry and harvest outlook updates after mid-April