Green notification for tropical cyclone MAILA-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (7657 in Tropical Storm).

Supply-chain Risk Briefing: Tropical Cyclone MAILA-26

1) Summary Tropical Cyclone MAILA-26 has been active in the waters of Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea from April 4 to 11, recording maximum wind speeds of 231km/h. Currently, the population affected by Category 1 or higher strong winds (120km/h) is 0, but an estimated 7,657 people are located within the tropical storm impact zone. Both countries remain highly vulnerable to natural disasters.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Maritime shipping delays: Vessel operations on major South Pacific routes are temporarily suspended or using detour routes, leading to expected increases in transportation costs
• Palm oil and cocoa production: Major agricultural exports from Papua New Guinea - palm oil and cocoa plantations - may suffer damage from strong winds and heavy rainfall
• Timber supply: Timber harvesting and export operations in Solomon Islands may be temporarily suspended due to deteriorating weather conditions
• Mineral extraction: Mining and transportation activities in Papua New Guinea's mining regions are expected to be restricted for safety reasons
• Regional port operations: Loading/unloading operations and vessel berthing at major ports in both countries are restricted during the cyclone passage period

3) Watch points

• Cyclone path changes: Changes in the trajectory and intensity of the cyclone progressing until April 11 will determine the scale of damage
• Port recovery status: Need to confirm the extent of facility damage at major ports in both countries after cyclone passage and timing of normal operations resumption
• Agricultural damage assessment: Monitoring required for the impact of crop damage coinciding with harvest season on global commodity prices