On 14 March 2025, Israeli warships shelled a fisherman's boat off the coast of Sudaniya, off the Coast of North Gaza (Gaza Strip), killing the fisherman. This event occurred following the expiration of the first phase of the ceasefire.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1. Summary

On March 14, 2025, an Israeli naval vessel shelled a Palestinian fishing boat off the coast of Sudaniya in northern Gaza Strip, killing one fisherman. This incident occurred immediately after the expiration of the first-phase ceasefire agreement and is assessed as a signal of renewed tensions in the Middle East region. The current risk level is high.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Maritime transportation risk: Strengthened military control over maritime activities off the Gaza coast increases potential risks for civilian vessel operations in the southern Eastern Mediterranean waters
• Regional food supply: Decline in local fishing activities in Gaza Strip exacerbates difficulties in securing protein sources and raises concerns over food security deterioration
• Energy infrastructure: Potential indirect impact on Eastern Mediterranean natural gas development projects and energy transport routes if Israeli-Palestinian conflict reignites
• Port operations: Potential slowdown in logistics processing speeds due to enhanced security measures at major Israeli ports including nearby Ashdod and Haifa

3. Watch points

• Post-ceasefire negotiations: Track progress in additional negotiations following first-phase ceasefire expiration and possibility of second-phase implementation
• Changes in maritime rules of engagement: Monitor changes in Israeli Navy's control levels off Gaza coast and potential expansion of restrictions on civilian maritime activities