[Pakistan] Strategic developments: Change to group/activity

Summary

Single-source ACLED detection — awaiting independent verification. Pakistani military forces reportedly imposed a daytime curfew in parts of South Waziristan district on April 2, 2025, restricting movement on major roads due to unspecified security concerns. This follows similar restrictions over the previous two weeks in the volatile tribal region.

Supply chain impact

No commodities or chokepoints are directly mapped to this event; second-order effects depend on how the situation escalates and whether restrictions expand beyond the immediate area or persist long-term.

Watch points

• Monitor for escalation of security incidents that could prompt broader movement restrictions across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province
• Track duration and geographic scope of curfew measures, particularly any extension to major transportation corridors connecting Pakistan with Afghanistan