Around 14 March 2025 (as reported), residents took to the streets in Ambatolampy Tsimahafotsy (Ambohidratrimo, Analamanga) to protest against the Lake Iarivo government project and demand the cancellation of the demolitions linked to the project. Around 65 houses could be demolished.

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary Around March 14, residents in the Ambohidratrimo area of Analamanga Province in Madagascar's capital region held peaceful protests opposing the government development project at Lake Iarivo. This is a low-intensity demonstration against a project that would involve demolishing approximately 65 houses, with residents expressing opposition to the government initiative.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Located near the capital Antananarivo and close to Madagascar's major logistics hubs, potential for impact on inland transportation networks if protests spread
• Madagascar is a major exporter of spices such as vanilla and cloves, and minerals including graphite and ilmenite; instability in the capital region could negatively affect overall export logistics
• Currently limited to localized land development issues, but if opposition to government policies spreads, it could potentially develop into widespread social unrest
• No immediate direct impact on access to Madagascar's ports and airports, but concerns over logistics disruptions if protests spread throughout the capital region

3) Watch points

• Need to track whether the government proceeds with the Lake Iarivo development project and monitor progress of negotiations with residents
• Monitor for additional protests within Analamanga Province and whether they spread to other regions
• Detect signals of logistics delays related to Madagascar's main export products (vanilla, spices, minerals)