Wildfire in India — Green alert

Supply-chain Risk Briefing: India Forest Fires

1. Summary

From April 11 to 15, 2026, forest fires occurred in India and were classified as medium risk level. Simultaneous fires have been reported in multiple areas including Belapur Hills in Mumbai's Navi area and Assam state, with experts warning of a nationwide surge in forest fires due to extreme heat waves and dry climate.

2. Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural commodity risk: Assam is a major tea-producing region, and if fires spread to tea plantations, there could be short-term impacts on the global tea supply chain
• Timber and forest products: Concerns over reduced timber supply and disruptions in pulp and paper raw material procurement due to forest fires
• Pharmaceutical and chemical raw materials: Potential supply disruptions of natural pharmaceutical ingredients and Ayurvedic herbs harvested from India's forest regions
• Logistics infrastructure: Temporary closures of road and rail transport routes near fire areas causing inland logistics delays
• Air quality deterioration: When smoke spreads to industrial concentration areas, manufacturing capacity utilization rates may decline and labor operations may be disrupted

3. Watch points

• Weather condition tracking: Whether high temperature and dry climate conditions persist until monsoon season and possibility of additional fire outbreaks
• Government response measures: India government's forest fire prevention and suppression system strengthening measures and recovery plans for affected areas
• Regional spread status: Need to monitor fire spread to major industrial belts (Gujarat, Maharashtra, etc.)