[Indonesia] Explosions/Remote violence: Air/drone strike

Summary

Single-source ACLED detection — awaiting independent verification. Indonesian military forces reportedly conducted an aerial strike on April 3, 2025, in Sinak district, Central Papua province, targeting separatist TPNPB positions with helicopters firing rockets and mortars. The operation damaged civilian houses in Timobut village but resulted in no reported fatalities.

Supply chain impact

No commodities or chokepoints are directly mapped to this event. If confirmed and escalated, second-order effects could emerge depending on whether mining operations or transport infrastructure in the broader Central Papua region face disruption from heightened military activity.

Watch points

• Monitor for independent media confirmation of the reported military operation and any civilian impact assessments
• Track whether separatist groups respond with retaliatory actions that could affect regional infrastructure or economic activity
• Watch for any expansion of military operations beyond Sinak district that might impact Papua's resource extraction zones