LOWwho · L3 · disease_outbreak2021-06-07
1999 - Malaria in Burundi
AI Brief
Supply-chain Risk Briefing
1) Summary Malaria outbreak cases have been reported in Burundi, but as a 1999 case, the direct threat to current supply chains is limited. With a 'low' classification, the possibility of large-scale spread or serious economic impact is low.
2) Supply-chain impact
- Burundi is a landlocked African country and not a major global supply chain node, so direct logistics disruptions are expected to be minimal
- Temporary labor shortages are possible in the agricultural sector (coffee, tea, etc.), but ripple effects are limited due to low global market share
- If spread to neighboring countries (Rwanda, Tanzania, Democratic Republic of Congo), there is potential for minor impact on East African agricultural supply
- Global supply chain risk is at minimum levels as no raw material mapping or connection points with major chokepoints have been identified
3) Watch points
- Need to track disease spread to neighboring countries and WHO's additional alert issuances
- Need to monitor changes in agricultural production within Burundi and any export disruptions