LOWwho · L3 · disease_outbreak2021-06-07

1999 - Malaria in Burundi

AI Brief

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary Malaria outbreak cases have been reported in Burundi, but as a 1999 case, the direct threat to current supply chains is limited. With a 'low' classification, the possibility of large-scale spread or serious economic impact is low.

2) Supply-chain impact

  • Burundi is a landlocked African country and not a major global supply chain node, so direct logistics disruptions are expected to be minimal
  • Temporary labor shortages are possible in the agricultural sector (coffee, tea, etc.), but ripple effects are limited due to low global market share
  • If spread to neighboring countries (Rwanda, Tanzania, Democratic Republic of Congo), there is potential for minor impact on East African agricultural supply
  • Global supply chain risk is at minimum levels as no raw material mapping or connection points with major chokepoints have been identified

3) Watch points

  • Need to track disease spread to neighboring countries and WHO's additional alert issuances
  • Need to monitor changes in agricultural production within Burundi and any export disruptions