LOWwho · L3 · disease_outbreak2016-04-21

Zika virus infection – Peru

AI Brief

Summary

WHO reported Zika virus infection in Peru on April 21, 2016. Currently classified as 'low' grade, large-scale supply-chain risks are limited.

Supply-chain impact

  • Potential temporary reduction in Peru's agricultural sector workforce — concerns over production disruptions for major export crops including coffee, asparagus, and quinoa
  • Expected labor shortage impact on mining operations for copper, gold, silver, etc. if spread to mining regions
  • Partial constraints on South American regional logistics networks — possible strengthening of quarantine measures on overland transport routes with neighboring countries including Brazil and Colombia
  • Expected normal maintenance of port operations — direct impact on major export hubs such as Callao Port currently minimal

Watch points

  • Whether WHO grade will be upgraded — possibility of implementing extensive logistics restriction measures if elevated to 'moderate' or higher
  • Level of Peru government quarantine measures — need to track announcements of regional movement restrictions or industrial activity constraint policies