HIGHwho · L3 · disease_outbreak2013-06-23

Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) - update

AI Brief

Summary

Saudi Arabia reported 2 additional confirmed MERS-CoV cases and 1 death among existing cases to WHO on June 23, 2013. The spread of the new coronavirus in the Middle East region is classified as high grade, raising concerns about supply-chain disruptions.

Supply-chain impact

  • Saudi Arabia is a key country for global crude oil supply, with potential workforce shortages in energy supply-chain operations if the disease spreads
  • Expected cargo processing delays due to strengthened quarantine measures at Middle East ports and logistics hubs
  • Concerns over air cargo transportation disruptions from reduced international flight operations and crew quarantine measures
  • Need to monitor operational continuity of petrochemical product manufacturing facilities
  • Risk of regional logistics network paralysis if spread occurs to neighboring Gulf countries

Watch points

  • Track additional confirmed case developments from WHO and Saudi Ministry of Health and monitor regional spread patterns
  • Monitor operational status and workforce availability changes at major oil production facilities and refineries
  • Monitor international airlines' policy changes for Middle East routes and trends in seeking alternative cargo transport routes