Avian influenza – situation in Indonesia – update

Summary

In August 2012, the avian influenza outbreak situation in Indonesia was updated by WHO. While the specific scale of the outbreak or damage assessment has not been confirmed, it is classified as low-risk with limited impact expected.

Supply-chain impact

• Potential production disruptions and export restrictions in Indonesia's poultry industry
• Concerns over changes in poultry product trade patterns within the Southeast Asian region
• Need to consider linkages with production areas of agriculture-related raw materials such as palm oil
• Potential indirect impact on agricultural imports and exports through nearby maritime logistics routes

Watch points

• Whether the Indonesian government announces poultry movement restrictions and export ban measures
• Trends in quarantine strengthening and trade restriction measures by neighboring countries (Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand)
• WHO's follow-up situation updates and potential risk level changes