Avian influenza – situation in Indonesia

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

1) Summary An avian influenza (AI) outbreak in Indonesia has been reported by WHO, though specific outbreak locations and scale have not been confirmed. Recorded as a low-grade disease outbreak occurring on May 6, 2010, direct impact at the current time is assessed to be limited.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Potential temporary impact on Indonesia's poultry industry - concerns over export-import restrictions on related products such as chicken meat and eggs
• Need to monitor Southeast Asian agricultural supply chains - expected strengthening of border quarantine measures to prevent spread to neighboring countries
• Possibility of tightened global food safety regulations - stricter quarantine procedures by importing countries for Indonesian agricultural and livestock products
• Increased demand for medical supplies and quarantine materials - supply pressure on related products such as vaccines, protective suits, and disinfectants in the local market

3) Watch points

• Official announcements from Indonesian government and scope of quarantine measures - whether specific regional lockdowns or livestock culling orders are issued
• Trends in import restriction announcements on Indonesian agricultural and livestock products by major importing countries (Korea, Japan, Singapore, etc.)