[Ecuador] Violence against civilians: Attack

Summary

Single-source ACLED detection — awaiting independent verification. A drive-by shooting in Guayaquil's El Cisne 2 neighborhood on March 31, 2025, resulted in one fatality, with unknown perpetrators and motivations. The incident reflects ongoing security concerns in Ecuador's largest port city.

Supply chain impact

No commodities or chokepoints are directly mapped to this event; second-order effects depend on how the situation escalates and whether this represents part of a broader deterioration in Guayaquil's security environment.

Watch points

• Monitor for additional violence or security incidents in Guayaquil that could signal escalating criminal activity near Ecuador's primary commercial port
• Track any changes to security protocols or operational disruptions at Guayaquil port facilities if violence continues