Wildfire in Guinea — Green alert

Supply-chain Risk Briefing

Summary

Forest fires in Guinea that persisted for one week from April 7-14 have been assessed as medium-grade. Given the dry season characteristics of the West African region, there are concerns about potential fire spread, which could impact regional agricultural production and transportation infrastructure.

Supply-chain impact

• If agricultural production areas within Guinea are affected, disruptions may occur in the supply of major crops such as cassava, rice, and palm oil
• Risk of timber and forest product supply chain disruptions due to forest resource losses
• Potential temporary blockage of regional road networks and inland transport routes due to fire smoke and ash
• Concerns about indirect impacts on cross-border overland transport within the West African region
• Potential constraints on access routes to mining sites under the mining-centered economic structure

Watch points

• Confirmation of the Guinean government's declaration of fire suppression completion and official announcement of damage scale
• Monitoring additional fire occurrences and spread due to continued dry season conditions
• Tracking potential fire spread to border areas with neighboring countries (Sierra Leone, Liberia, Côte d'Ivoire)