Wildfire in Cuba — Green alert

Supply-chain Risk Briefing: Cuba Wildfires

1) Summary Wildfires occurred in Cuba from April 10-14, lasting approximately 4 days, and are currently classified as medium-level risk. While specific affected areas and scale have not been confirmed, potential impacts on agricultural and logistics infrastructure in the Caribbean region are a concern.

2) Supply-chain impact

• Sugar production: Cuba is a traditional sugar exporter, with potential production decreases if sugarcane cultivation areas are within the fire-affected zones
• Nickel mining: Concerns over delays in nickel mine operations and export port accessibility in eastern Cuba due to fire smoke or road blockages
• Tobacco agriculture: Potential supply-chain disruption for premium tobacco if tobacco leaf cultivation areas for Cuban cigars are damaged
• Port logistics: Potential degradation of Caribbean regional logistics hub functions if land transport routes to major ports like Havana Port are blocked

3) Watch points

• Need to track fire suppression completion timing and whether fires spread to major agricultural and mining areas
• Monitor Cuban government damage assessments and production facility resumption schedules
• Requirement to assess alternative supply capacity of neighboring Caribbean countries such as Jamaica and Dominican Republic