Flood in Afghanistan — Orange alert

Supply-chain Risk Briefing - Afghanistan Floods

Summary

A severe natural disaster occurred in Afghanistan with massive floods lasting approximately 3 weeks from March 25 to April 14, resulting in 169 deaths. A flood alert has been issued at 'orange' level, indicating high risk, and impacts continue to persist.

Supply-chain impact

• Agricultural production disruption: Major agricultural regions in Afghanistan have been flooded, with significant damage expected to grain production including wheat and barley, as well as key export agricultural products such as raisins and nuts
• Overland transport network paralysis: Major overland transportation routes connecting to Pakistan have been blocked by floods, potentially disrupting logistics flows between Central Asia and South Asia
• Infrastructure damage: Damage to basic infrastructure including roads and bridges is expected to create difficulties in domestic logistics and humanitarian aid transportation
• Energy supply chain: Power infrastructure damage causing production facility shutdowns and unstable communication networks reducing logistics coordination capabilities

Watch points

• Recovery progress: Need to track the restoration speed and normalization timeline of major transportation routes and logistics infrastructure
• Humanitarian crisis expansion: Monitor additional rainfall or secondary disaster occurrences and increasing demand for international emergency aid supplies
• Regional spillover effects: Observe trends in refugee influx to neighboring countries like Pakistan and Iran, or formation of regional logistics bypass routes