Netherlands

Netherlands (NL)CRITICAL

Europe · pop. 17,620,000 · GDP 1,061,135 M USD

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Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk

Major industries

chemicalsagriculturelogistics

Major exports

refined-petroleummachinerychemicals

30d events

20
events occurred · risk score 100/100

AI Brief

Current status

The Netherlands faces an unprecedented security crisis with 119 events recorded over the last 30 days, including 48 critical and 69 high-severity incidents concentrated in economic and political disruption. Military actions, embargoes, and civil unrest—particularly in Noord-Holland province—represent the most severe threat environment the country has experienced, creating immediate risks to Europe's key logistics hub. The normally stable nation with strong governance indicators is experiencing extraordinary instability that threatens its role as a critical supply chain node.

Supply chain impact

  • Port of Rotterdam, Europe's largest port handling 15% of EU container traffic, faces severe operational disruption from military actions and embargo measures, affecting global shipping routes between Asia and European markets.
  • Chemical and refined petroleum exports, representing core Dutch industries, are at immediate risk from the ongoing crisis, potentially disrupting pharmaceutical, plastics, and fuel supply chains across Europe.
  • Amsterdam Schiphol Airport's air cargo operations, vital for high-value electronics and perishables distribution, face potential closure or restricted access due to security conditions in Noord-Holland.
  • Agricultural exports including flowers, vegetables, and dairy products from Dutch producers may experience delivery delays and quality deterioration as transportation networks become unreliable.
  • Trans-European logistics corridors connecting the UK, Scandinavia, and Eastern Europe via Dutch infrastructure are experiencing significant bottlenecks and rerouting requirements.

Watch points

  • Monitor Port of Rotterdam operational status and container throughput metrics, as any closure would force cargo rerouting to Hamburg, Antwerp, or Le Havre with 7-14 day delays.
  • Track Dutch government emergency declarations and EU intervention measures, as coordinated response could stabilize critical infrastructure within 2-3 weeks.
  • Watch for spillover effects into neighboring Belgium and Germany, particularly around shared logistics corridors and cross-border manufacturing supply chains.

Risk by layer

Natural disaster
1 eventsLOW
Economic & political
93 eventsCRITICAL

90d risk trend

2026-03-052026-06-02

Structural risk profile

Corruption Perceptions (CPI)
78/100
rank #9
ti-cpi-2024
Voice & Accountability
81/100
rank #98
wb-wgi-2022
Political stability
64/100
rank #71
wb-wgi-2022
Government effectiveness
82/100
rank #95
wb-wgi-2022
Regulatory quality
84/100
rank #97
wb-wgi-2022
Rule of law
83/100
rank #93
wb-wgi-2022
Control of corruption
88/100
rank #97
wb-wgi-2022

Produced commodities

No mapped commodities

Dependent chokepoints

Recent events (20)

Related News (30)