Spain
Spain (ES)CRITICALEurope · pop. 47,520,000 · GDP 1,397,509 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Current status
Spain faces an unprecedented security crisis with 169 events recorded over the last 30 days, including 71 critical and 87 high-severity incidents. The situation is dominated by conventional military operations and embargo actions, with particular escalation in Catalonia from May 15-17. A concurrent hantavirus outbreak adds public health complications to an already volatile environment.
Supply chain impact
- Automotive supply chains face severe disruption as Spain's major manufacturing hubs experience military operations, threatening exports to European markets and disrupting just-in-time production networks.
- Mediterranean shipping routes through Spanish ports are compromised by embargo actions, affecting machinery and agricultural exports that normally flow to North Africa and the Americas.
- Tourism-dependent regions are experiencing operational shutdowns, cascading into reduced demand for hospitality supplies, food service equipment, and consumer goods.
- Catalonian industrial zones face targeted military operations, threatening Barcelona's port operations and regional manufacturing that serves broader European supply networks.
- Agricultural exports, particularly citrus and other fresh produce, risk spoilage and delivery delays due to transportation network disruptions across affected regions.
Watch points
- Monitor escalation of military operations beyond Catalonia into other autonomous regions, which would compound supply chain disruptions across Spain's industrial corridors.
- Track hantavirus outbreak containment efforts, as expanded health restrictions could further limit cargo movement and workforce availability in key logistics hubs.
- Watch for extension of embargo measures to additional sectors or trading partners, potentially disrupting Spain's role as a Mediterranean gateway for European trade.
Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- CRITICALNuclear alert in Spain (general), Spain2026-06-02
- HIGHArrest/detain in Castilla y LeóP, Spain2026-06-01
- HIGHReduce diplomatic ties in Islas Baleares, Spain2026-06-01
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Madrid, Spain2026-06-01
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Madrid, Spain2026-06-01
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (51 detections)2026-05-31
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (52 detections)2026-05-30
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in AndalucíSP, Spain2026-05-29
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (54 detections)2026-05-29
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (27 detections)2026-05-28
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Spain2026-05-28
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (43 detections)2026-05-27
- HIGHReduce diplomatic ties in Spain2026-05-27
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (29 detections)2026-05-26
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in ES (54 detections)2026-05-25
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Madrid, Spain2026-05-24
- HIGHProtest in Madrid, Spain2026-05-24
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in ES (48 detections)2026-05-24
- HIGHDemonstration/rally in Madrid, Spain2026-05-24
- HIGHArrest/detain in Spain2026-05-24
Related News (30)
- Milex 26 eu Deploys Troops in Spain to Test Its Rapid Reaction Forceeuronews.com·2026-06-02
Nuclear alert reported in Canary Islands, Spain (general), Spain. Actors: SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 5 sources.
- Enrique Riquelme Escalates Campaign With Direct Warning Over Real Madrid Ownershipmanagingmadrid.com·2026-06-01
Use conventional military force reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: MADRID, MADRID. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Easyjet Tui Jet2 Ryanair Bluetoothgetsurrey.co.uk·2026-06-01
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Palma De Mallorca, Islas Baleares, Spain. Actors: RYANAIR, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 8 sources.
- Gestor Who Charged Foreigners E400 For Residency Appointments Arrested in Spainthelocal.es·2026-06-01
Arrest/detain reported in Salamanca, Castilla y LeóP, Spain. Actors: POLICE, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Lorca The Broken Voice Sideral Documentary Salesvariety.com·2026-05-29
Use conventional military force reported in Granada, AndalucíSP, Spain. Actors: SPANISH, WRITER. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Will Collaborate Spanish PM Pedro Sanchez After Police Raidarticle.wn.com·2026-05-28
Use conventional military force reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, POLICE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Reduce diplomatic ties in Spainbbc.co.uk·2026-05-27
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Spain. Actors: UNITED KINGDOM, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 6 sources.
- Spain Tens of Thousands Rally in Anti Government Protest Demand an End to Socialist Mafia Rulelegalinsurrection.com·2026-05-24
Demonstration/rally reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPANIARD, PRIME MINISTER. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 5 sources.
- Great Job Spanish Police Drag Beat Gaza Flotilla Activists Days After Madrid Condemned Israel See Footagetheyeshivaworld.com·2026-05-24
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPANISH, SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Arrests Confirmed Following 280kg Seizure of Cannabis Resin at Seagbc.gi·2026-05-24
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Tens of Thousands March in Madrid to Demand Spanish Prime Minister Resignswhbl.com·2026-05-23
Demonstration/rally reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 3 sources.
- Spanish Police Clash With Global Sumud Flotilla Activists at Bilbao Airportaa.com.tr·2026-05-23
Use conventional military force reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Isak Andic Mango Fashion Billionaire Son Arrested Connection Deathperezhilton.com·2026-05-23
Arrest/detain reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: BARCELONA, AUTHORITIES. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Leo Xiv Authorizes Beatification of 80 Civil War Martyrs Ahead of His Trip to Spainewtnnews.com·2026-05-23
Use conventional military force reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, CARMELITES. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Meteorologists Predict an el Nino For The History Bookstheworld.org·2026-05-22
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, AIRLINE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 5 sources.
- Spanish Former Prime Minister Charged With Fraudtheworld.org·2026-05-22
Arrest/detain reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, AIRLINE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Estee Lauder Puig Talks Fail After Charlotte Tilbury Tensionbusinesstimes.com.sg·2026-05-22
Demonstration/rally reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, BUSINESS. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 4 sources.
- What Spain Now Grudgingly Concedes it Must Learn From a Resurgent Moroccomoroccoworldnews.com·2026-05-22
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: AFRICA, MADRID. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 3 sources.
- Why Trump s Dispute With Spain is Escalating And What it Could Mean For Natoaa.com.tr·2026-05-21
Use conventional military force reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, IRAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- Chemical weapons used in Spainfark.com·2026-05-21
Chemical weapons used reported in Spain. Actors: VENEZUELA, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- Two Dead One Injured in Spanish Mass Shooting nbearingarms.com·2026-05-20
Use conventional military force reported in El Ejido, AndalucíSP, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, AUTHORITIES. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Two Dangerous Fugitives Arrested in t Rkiye And Spainalbaniandailynews.com·2026-05-20
Arrest/detain reported in Alicante, Valenciana, Spain. Actors: SPANISH, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Trump Nato Troops Withdraw Europe Support 0s7xcthetimes.com·2026-05-19
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Spain. Actors: SPAIN, NATO. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 8 sources.
- Mango Founder Son Arrested Suspicious Death Spainthemunicheye.com·2026-05-19
Arrest/detain reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: SPANISH, ENTREPRENEUR. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- Toronto Police Sexual Assault Charge Barcelonatheguardian.com·2026-05-19
Assault reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: BARCELONA, POLICE OFFICER. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 7 sources.
- Three Canadian Off Duty Officersyahoo.com·2026-05-19
Arrest/detain reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: SPAIN, CANADIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Nato Mulls Possible Naval Deployment in Strait of Hormuz if Shipping Disruption Continues Articlemoneycontrol.com·2026-05-19
Military force (coercive) reported in Spain. Actors: THE US, SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Spanish Fashion Magnates Son Arrested on Suspicion of Involvement in His Deathrockymounttelegram.com·2026-05-19
Arrest/detain reported in Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Actors: POLICE, SPANISH. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 16 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spainwgauradio.com·2026-05-19
Arrest/detain reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: POLICE, SPAIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Son Fashion Chain Mango Founderaol.co.uk·2026-05-19
Use conventional military force reported in Barcelona, Comunidad Autonoma de Cataluna, Spain. Actors: BARCELONA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.