Egypt
Egypt (EG)CRITICALNorth Africa · pop. 112,720,000 · GDP 378,107 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Current status
Egypt faces a severe security crisis with 66 critical and high-severity events over the last 30 days, including military force deployments in Cairo and Alexandria, an economic blockade, and political violence. The concentration of 25 critical-level incidents signals acute instability affecting the country's already fragile governance environment. Multiple military operations and infrastructure attacks indicate potential civil unrest or conflict escalation.
Supply chain impact
- Petroleum and natural gas exports face immediate disruption risk as military operations concentrate in Alexandria, a major port city handling energy shipments to European and Mediterranean markets.
- Suez Canal transit security concerns are elevated given proximity of violence to Cairo and Alexandria, potentially affecting the 12% of global trade that passes through this critical chokepoint.
- Textile and cotton supply chains serving European buyers are vulnerable as Alexandria hosts key manufacturing and export facilities now experiencing direct military action.
- Tourism revenue collapse will strain foreign currency reserves, potentially affecting Egypt's ability to finance critical imports including food and energy.
- Regional buyers of Egyptian crude oil and LNG, particularly in the Eastern Mediterranean, should prepare for potential supply interruptions or force majeure declarations.
Watch points
- Monitor Suez Canal Authority statements and any shipping delays or security advisories that could signal broader infrastructure threats to this vital trade route.
- Track foreign currency reserves and any capital controls that might emerge from the economic blockade, affecting payment terms for Egyptian suppliers.
- Watch for escalation to other major industrial centers beyond Cairo and Alexandria, particularly ports handling energy exports like Ain Sokhna or Damietta.
Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Goods produced with forced / child labor (US DoL 2024)
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- HIGHArrest/detain in Al Bu?ayrah, Egypt2026-06-02
- HIGHArrest/detain in Egypt2026-06-02
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-30
- HIGHArrest/detain in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-28
- HIGHArrest/detain in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-22
- CRITICALAssault in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-22
- HIGHArrest/detain in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-22
- CRITICALUnconventional violence in Egypt2026-05-20
- CRITICALUnconventional violence in Egypt2026-05-20
- CRITICALAssault in Egypt2026-05-20
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-19
- HIGHArrest/detain in Egypt2026-05-19
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-19
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-18
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-18
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-18
- CRITICALAssault in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-18
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Al Iskandariyah, Egypt2026-05-18
- CRITICALAssault in Al Qahirah, Egypt2026-05-18
- HIGHArrest/detain in Al Qahirah, Egypt2026-05-17
Related News (29)
- Prosecution Urges Court to Uphold 10 Year Sentence For Elderly School Worker in Child Abuse Caseegyptindependent.com·2026-06-02
Arrest/detain reported in Damanhour, Al Bu?ayrah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, PRISON. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Oman Threatens Deportation Egyptian Woman And Newborn Baby Days After Giving Birthmiddleeasteye.net·2026-06-02
Arrest/detain reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, OMANI. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Oakdale Businessman Former Cenla Law Enforcement Plead Guilty Immigration Fraud Schemekalb.com·2026-05-30
Military force (coercive) reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Woman Accused of Stealing 45m From Employer Indicted in Alexandria Sharon Lee Loudoun County Embezzlement Invictuswset.com·2026-05-28
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Alexandria Man Sentenced For Felony Child Tortureechopress.com·2026-05-22
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: DISTRICT COURT, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- 10 Million Ransom Somali Pirates Kidnapalbawaba.com·2026-05-20
Unconventional violence reported in Egypt. Actors: SOMALI, EGYPTIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 3 sources.
- The Thing Between The Wall And my Body Doumathebaffler.com·2026-05-19
Arrest/detain reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Breaking Benjamin Returns to Europe For First Shows Since With Chevellewrif.com·2026-05-19
Use conventional military force reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- 3 Adults Accused Rape Sexual Offenses Involving Juvenileskalb.com·2026-05-18
Assault reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 4 sources.
- Alexandria Officereinvolved Shooting Under Investigationfox5dc.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA, GUNMAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Neighbors Heard Fighting For Months Before Deadly Alexandria Shooting Involving Policewusa9.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA, POLICE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Family Protest Over el Rufais Detention by Sss Healthcare Access Icpc Speakspremiumtimesng.com·2026-05-18
Assault reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: DIRECTOR GENERAL, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 3 sources.
- Alexandria Police Shoot Man Suspected of Killing Woman Inside Apartmentnbcwashington.com·2026-05-18
Chemical weapons used reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Egypt Condemns Drone Attack Near Uaes Barakah Nuclear Power Plantemirates247.com·2026-05-17
Tank/artillery attack reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: CAIRO, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Horrible Histories Crafty Cleopatra Specialtvguide.co.uk·2026-05-17
Use conventional military force reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 14 sources.
- Egyptian Lawyer Sues Netflix For Depicting Queen Cleopatra as Black Mahmoud al Semary African Queens Jada Pinkett Smithsiouxlandnews.com·2026-05-17
Arrest/detain reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN, NETFLIX. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- a Drone Strike Causes Fire Outside a Nuclear Power Plant in Abu Dhabiksat.com·2026-05-17
Use conventional military force reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: CAIRO. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- The Replacement Apostle st Matthiasaleteia.org·2026-05-15
Use conventional military force reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Article South Africa Anti Migrant Protests Backlashtheglobeandmail.com·2026-05-15
Expel/deport reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, SUDANESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Economic blockade in Egyptallafrica.com·2026-05-14
Economic blockade reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN, INTELLIGENCE. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 3 sources.
- Advocate Says Sentence of Egyptian Coptic Scholar Has Created a Chilling Effect on Christianscruxnow.com·2026-05-14
Arrest/detain reported in Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, MEDIA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Alexandria Art Guild Names May Artist of The Month Jean Schonbergechopress.com·2026-05-12
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 7 sources.
- Neighbor Charged in Extremely Violent Murder of Alexandria Woman With Down Syndromenbcwashington.com·2026-05-11
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: JUDGE, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Al Qahirah, Egyptenglish.news.cn·2026-05-10
Arrest/detain reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: MINISTRY, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- First us Press Conference After us Embassy Reopening Cairoeturbonews.com·2026-05-08
Demonstration/rally reported in Cairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 10 sources.
- Article Ecb 3be4 44bf 8d4e 999cbeb43c59nola.com·2026-05-08
Arrest/detain reported in Kairo, Al Qahirah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPT, ORLEANS. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Alexandria Woman is Injured in a Crash Near Benson on Tuesdayvoiceofalexandria.com·2026-05-06
Physical attack reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: UNITED STATES, EGYPT. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 6 sources.
- Three Chimpanzees Seized at Cairo Airport During Smuggling Attemptcairoscene.com·2026-05-04
Arrest/detain reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: EGYPTIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Everything is Gone Alexandria House Fire Leaves Family Displacedkalb.com·2026-05-04
Legal detention reported in Alexandria, Al Iskandariyah, Egypt. Actors: ALEXANDRIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.2 · 10 sources.