Dominican Republic

Dominican Republic (DO)MEDIUM

Central America · pop. 11,330,000 · GDP 118,742 M USD

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Why this score? · top 1 of 1 events driving the 30-day risk

Major industries

tourismmanufacturingagriculture

Major exports

goldmedical-instrumentscigars

30d events

1
events occurred · risk score 10/100

AI Brief

Current status

The Dominican Republic faces an unprecedented security crisis with 13 critical and high-severity incidents over the past 30 days, including multiple military force deployments and assaults. Eight critical events dominated the period, signaling severe operational disruptions across the country. The concentration of violence and military activity represents a dramatic escalation from typical risk levels for this Caribbean manufacturing and tourism hub.

Supply chain impact

  • Tourism-dependent supply chains face immediate disruption as security incidents threaten the country's primary economic driver, affecting hotel, restaurant, and retail procurement networks.
  • Gold mining operations and medical instrument manufacturing may experience production delays or shutdowns due to the elevated military activity and security concerns affecting industrial zones.
  • Cigar export supply chains to North American and European markets could face shipping delays through Dominican ports as security measures tighten in response to the ongoing incidents.
  • Haitian migrant labor, critical to Dominican agricultural and manufacturing sectors, faces additional pressure from deportation policies amid the security crisis.
  • Caribbean shipping routes through Dominican ports may see cargo diversions to alternative regional hubs in Puerto Rico or Jamaica to avoid security-related delays.

Watch points

  • Monitor port operations in Santo Domingo and Puerto Plata for security-related cargo delays or facility closures that could affect regional supply chains.
  • Track any expansion of military operations into industrial zones that house medical device manufacturing and gold processing facilities.
  • Watch for tourism sector shutdowns or travel advisories that could cascade into broader economic disruption affecting multiple supply chains.

Risk by layer

Economic & political
1 eventsMEDIUM

90d risk trend

2026-03-052026-06-02

Structural risk profile

Corruption Perceptions (CPI)
36/100
rank #104
ti-cpi-2024
Voice & Accountability
56/100
rank #58
wb-wgi-2022
Political stability
57/100
rank #55
wb-wgi-2022
Government effectiveness
49/100
rank #50
wb-wgi-2022
Regulatory quality
51/100
rank #54
wb-wgi-2022
Rule of law
48/100
rank #50
wb-wgi-2022
Control of corruption
41/100
rank #37
wb-wgi-2022

Goods produced with forced / child labor (US DoL 2024)

Baked GoodscCoffeecRicecSugarcanecfTomatoesc

Produced commodities

No mapped commodities

Dependent chokepoints

No dependent chokepoints

Recent events (1)

Related News (1)