Colombia
Colombia (CO)CRITICALSouth America · pop. 52,090,000 · GDP 363,835 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Current status
Colombia faces severely elevated security risks with 96 incidents recorded in the last 30 days, dominated by 53 critical-severity events including chemical weapons use, military operations, and economic blockades. Political and economic instability accounts for the majority of incidents, with armed groups actively disrupting operations across key regions including Valle del Cauca, Boyacá, and La Guajira. The country's weak governance indicators (37/100 stability, 39/100 corruption perception) provide little buffer against this escalating violence.
Supply chain impact
- Coal exports from La Guajira face immediate disruption due to economic blockades in the region, directly affecting thermal coal shipments to Europe and Asia through Puerto Bolívar.
- Oil pipeline infrastructure in Valle del Cauca experiences heightened attack risk given concentrated military operations, potentially impacting crude exports through Pacific coast terminals.
- Coffee supply chains encounter mounting pressure as armed groups target rural areas, threatening the upcoming harvest season for arabica beans destined for North American and European markets.
- Mining operations across Boyacá department face operational shutdowns due to chemical weapons incidents, affecting coal and emerald extraction activities.
- Port operations at Cartagena and Barranquilla may experience delays as security incidents spread beyond traditional conflict zones into transportation corridors.
Watch points
- Monitor coal loading operations at Puerto Bolívar for continued blockade activity, particularly given La Guajira's strategic importance for thermal coal exports.
- Track escalation of chemical weapons incidents beyond Valle del Cauca and Boyacá, which could signal broader operational disruptions across Colombia's mining and energy sectors.
- Watch for spillover effects into major transportation arteries connecting inland production areas to Caribbean coast ports, especially the Magdalena River corridor.
Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Goods produced with forced / child labor (US DoL 2024)
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- HIGHArrest/detain in Cundinamarca, Colombia2026-06-01
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (23 detections)2026-05-31
- CRITICALAssault in Colombia2026-05-30
- CRITICALAssault in Colombia2026-05-30
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (38 detections)2026-05-30
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in CO (83 detections)2026-05-29
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (24 detections)2026-05-28
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (44 detections)2026-05-27
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in CO (155 detections)2026-05-26
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (34 detections)2026-05-25
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (27 detections)2026-05-24
- CRITICALPhysical attack in Colombia2026-05-23
- MEDIUMActive wildfire cluster in CO (87 detections)2026-05-23
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Colombia2026-05-21
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Colombia2026-05-21
- LOWActive wildfire cluster in CO (37 detections)2026-05-21
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Magdalena, Colombia2026-05-21
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in CO (216 detections)2026-05-20
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Colombia2026-05-20
- CRITICALAssault in Colombia2026-05-20
Related News (22)
- Cepeda de la Espriella Advance in Colombias Presidential Electiongrenadachronicle.com·2026-06-01
Arrest/detain reported in Bogota, Cundinamarca, Colombia. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- 2 Nigerians 3 Others Arrested Over Gang Rape of Tourist in Italyleadership.ng·2026-05-30
Assault reported in Colombia. Actors: GANG, COLOMBIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 6 sources.
- Physical attack in Colombiabssnews.net·2026-05-23
Physical attack reported in Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIA, INDIGENOUS. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 10 sources.
- Bolivia Escalates Internal Conflict Into Diplomatic Clash With Colombia And Divided Regional Backingen.mercopress.com·2026-05-21
Use conventional military force reported in Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIA, BOLIVIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Colombia Climate Crossroads Trumpism Casts Shadow Presidential Electiontheguardian.com·2026-05-21
Use conventional military force reported in La Toma, Magdalena, Colombia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Dhs Blame Ebola Refuse Bring Back Wrongly Deported Womannewrepublic.com·2026-05-20
Assault reported in Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIA, FEDERAL JUDGE. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 6 sources.
- Influencer Francisca Roberta Dead Years After Partner Killedusmagazine.com·2026-05-20
Use conventional military force reported in Colombia. Actors: PRESIDENT, COLOMBIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Colombia Mother Searching For Missing Daughter Since Killed in Valle Del Caucathebogotapost.com·2026-05-19
Chemical weapons used reported in Valle Del Cauca, Valle del Cauca, Colombia. Actors: AUTHORITIES, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Colombias Financial Intelligence Unit Finds Unjustified Wealth Accumulation in Supreme Court Justices Recordscolombiareports.com·2026-05-18
Assassination reported in Caracol, Sucre, Colombia. Actors: PRISON, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- The Day The Bagdad Gang Split up in a Hail of Bullets Hell in la Joyitanewsroompanama.com·2026-05-17
Chemical weapons used reported in La Joya, BoyacáO, Colombia. Actors: GANG, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- i Hope Our Comrade Cepeda Wins Armed Groups Are Poisoning Colombias Electionsenglish.elpais.com·2026-05-16
Assault reported in Guaviare, GuainíCO, Colombia. Actors: ARMED GROUP, COLOMBIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 5 sources.
- Navigating The Shift New Kroc Institute Report Maps The Future of Colombian Peace Amidst Pivotal Political Transitionnews.nd.edu·2026-05-14
Assault reported in Colombia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Petro Claims Ecuador Has Overtaken Colombia as Worlds Biggest Cocaine Export Hubslguardian.org·2026-05-13
Reduce diplomatic ties reported in Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIAN. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 7 sources.
- D13cadfe 999b 51e1 99af 649dee48tvguide.co.uk·2026-05-10
Economic blockade reported in Kogi, La Guajira, Colombia. Actors: AMERICAN, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 3 sources.
- Christians Demand Protection of Pastors in Colombia After Killingschristianpost.com·2026-05-09
Use conventional military force reported in Salento, Valle del Cauca, Colombia. Actors: CHRISTIAN, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Denaturalization Doj us Citizenship 12 People Accused Crimesfox9.com·2026-05-09
Arrest/detain reported in Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIAN, ROMAN CATHOLIC. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 20 sources.
- Christians Call For Protection of Pastors in Colombia Amid Spate of Murders Kidnappingsnews.crossmap.com·2026-05-09
Use conventional military force reported in Colombia. Actors: CHRISTIAN, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Doj Seeks to Strip Citizenship From 12 People Accused of Serious Crimeskztv10.com·2026-05-08
Assault reported in Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIAN, ROMAN CATHOLIC. Tension (Goldstein): -9 · 20 sources.
- Four People Convicted of Conspiracy in us Trial Tied to Assassination of Haitis Presidentpanow.com·2026-05-08
Use conventional military force reported in Colombia. Actors: MERCENARIES, COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 3 sources.
- Birding Paradise Flourishes in Colombian Region That Was Once a War Zone 60 Minutes Transcriptcbsnews.com·2026-05-04
Assassination reported in Bogota, Cundinamarca, Colombia. Actors: BOGOTA, PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Monster Truck Tragedy Adds to Caucas Woesthebogotapost.com·2026-05-04
Use conventional military force reported in El Tiempo, Magdalena, Colombia. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Avianca More Flights Comingcaribjournal.com·2026-05-04
Economic blockade reported in Barranquilla, Atláico, Colombia. Actors: COLOMBIA. Tension (Goldstein): -9.5 · 10 sources.