China
China (CN)CRITICALEast Asia · pop. 1,425,671,000 · GDP 17,963,170 M USD
Why this score? · top 3 of 20 events driving the 30-day risk
Major industries
Major exports
30d events
AI Brief
Multiple conventional military incidents and widespread wildfire activity across China signal heightened operational risks for supply chains dependent on Chinese manufacturing. Electronics and rare-earth exports face potential disruption.
Current status
China faces an unprecedented security crisis with 500 critical and high-severity events over the past 30 days, including military force deployment, mass civilian casualties, and chemical weapons incidents in Beijing. The concentration of 252 critical events suggests acute domestic instability, while escalating trade tensions with the EU and stalled diplomatic talks with the US compound supply chain risks. Widespread wildfires and violent incidents across multiple provinces indicate systemic disruption to China's manufacturing heartland.
Supply chain impact
- Electronics and machinery supply chains face immediate disruption as Beijing, a major industrial hub, experiences active military operations and civilian casualties that could halt production and logistics operations.
- Rare earth element exports are at severe risk given China's 80% global market share and current domestic instability, potentially impacting automotive, renewable energy, and defense industries worldwide.
- Textile manufacturing in affected regions including Zhejiang faces production delays as demonstrations and security incidents disrupt factory operations and worker availability.
- Major shipping routes from Chinese ports may experience delays or diversions as military activities in Fujian province, a key coastal manufacturing region, threaten maritime logistics.
- Cross-border trade with the EU faces additional headwinds as trade war tensions escalate alongside domestic security concerns, potentially triggering retaliatory tariffs and export restrictions.
Watch points
- Monitor Beijing and Fujian province factory shutdowns and port closures, as continued military operations could extend manufacturing disruptions beyond current affected areas.
- Track rare earth export licensing and quota announcements, as China may weaponize strategic mineral exports amid deteriorating international relations and domestic pressures.
- Watch for escalation in EU-China trade disputes that could trigger broader economic sanctions affecting multiple commodity categories and supply routes.
Frequently asked questions
What is China's role in global supply chains?
Which industries depend most heavily on Chinese suppliers?
What supply chain risks should companies monitor in China?
How does China's rare earth dominance affect global technology supply chains?
Risk by layer
90d risk trend
Structural risk profile
Goods produced with forced / child labor (US DoL 2024)
Produced commodities
Dependent chokepoints
Recent events (20)
- HIGHArrest/detain in Shanghai, China2026-06-02
- HIGHArrest/detain in Shanghai, China2026-06-02
- CRITICALAssassination in China2026-06-01
- HIGHCoerce in Beijing, China2026-06-01
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Beijing, China2026-06-01
- CRITICALActive wildfire cluster in CN (527 detections)2026-05-31
- HIGHHalt diplomatic visits in Beijing, China2026-05-31
- HIGHTerritorial invasion in China2026-05-31
- HIGHArrest/detain in Beijing, China2026-05-30
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Beijing, China2026-05-30
- CRITICALUse conventional military force in Beijing, China2026-05-30
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in CN (271 detections)2026-05-30
- HIGHArrest/detain in Beijing, China2026-05-29
- HIGHArrest/detain in Beijing, China2026-05-29
- HIGHArrest/detain in Tianjin, China2026-05-29
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in Guangdong, China2026-05-29
- HIGHActive wildfire cluster in CN (186 detections)2026-05-29
- HIGHMilitary force (coercive) in China2026-05-29
- CRITICALChemical weapons used in Jiangxi, China2026-05-29
- HIGHArrest/detain in China2026-05-29
Related News (30)
- Police Recall Flight Changi Airport Arrest 3 Chinese Nationals Robbery Hotel Bayfront Avenue Mbsasiaone.com·2026-06-02
Arrest/detain reported in Shanghai, Shanghai, China. Actors: POLICE, CHINESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Chinas Rare Earth Universities Inside The Talent Pipeline Powering a Global Resource Monopolyslguardian.org·2026-06-01
Military force (coercive) reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: BEIJING. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- President Ilham Aliyev Attended Official Opening Ceremony of Baku Energy Forum Updated 3 Photoen.apa.az·2026-06-01
Assassination reported in China. Actors: CHINA, COMPANY. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 8 sources.
- China no Justice For Tiananmen Massacre 37 Years onhrw.org·2026-06-01
Coerce reported in Tiananmen Square, Beijing, China. Actors: AUTHORITIES, CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 8 sources.
- Waymos Ojai Robotaxi is Now Picking up Real Passengersexplosion.com·2026-05-31
Territorial invasion reported in China. Actors: CHINESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Halt diplomatic visits in Beijing, Chinakoreaherald.com·2026-05-31
Halt diplomatic visits reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: CHINESE, SOUTH KOREA. Tension (Goldstein): -4 · 6 sources.
- Where China Ask Delegates Shangri la Dialogueasiaone.com·2026-05-30
Use conventional military force reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: MILITARY, CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Where China Ask Delegates Asianyahoo.com·2026-05-30
Use conventional military force reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: MILITARY, CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 6 sources.
- Former Arcadia Mayor Eileen Wang Pleads Guilty in China Spy Casenypost.com·2026-05-30
Arrest/detain reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Former Head Monk of China s Kung fu Temple Jailed For Embezzlementnews.az·2026-05-29
Arrest/detain reported in Henan, Henan, China. Actors: CHINA, CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Grand Jury Indicts Duo Accused Possessing 88 Pounds Marijuanawwnytv.com·2026-05-29
Arrest/detain reported in China. Actors: CANTON, LAWRENCE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Exclusive China Works ai Tokenfinance.yahoo.com·2026-05-29
Chemical weapons used reported in Xiao Feng, Jiangxi, China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Temu Hit 232m Fine Over Selling Toxic Toys Unsafe Electronicshngn.com·2026-05-29
Military force (coercive) reported in China. Actors: EUROPEAN UNION, CHINESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Nio Es9 Hits Market Presenting a New Competitor to Aito m9autonews.gasgoo.com·2026-05-29
Military force (coercive) reported in Shenzhen, Guangdong, China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Chinese Dissident is in South Korean Custody After a Perilous Escape by Rubber Boatmacaudailytimes.com.mo·2026-05-29
Arrest/detain reported in Tiananmen Square, Beijing, China. Actors: DONG, CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Arrest/detain in Tianjin, Chinaenglish.news.cn·2026-05-29
Arrest/detain reported in Tianjin, Tianjin, China. Actors: INTELLIGENCE, TIANJIN. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Cross Border Crackdown Part Keeping Chinas Capital Market Stablescmp.com·2026-05-28
Arrest/detain reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: CHINESE, CHINESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 6 sources.
- Cta Commemorates Tibetan Youths on Anniversary of Lhasa Self Immolation Protestaninews.in·2026-05-28
Demonstration/rally reported in Amdo, Xizang, China. Actors: HIMACHAL PRADESH, CHINESE. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 8 sources.
- Doj Drops Federal Charge Against Israeli Linked to Chinese Fraudsters Illegal Biolabtheblaze.com·2026-05-27
Arrest/detain reported in China. Actors: POLICE, CHINESE. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- China Claims Dutch Frigate Entered Disputed Paracel Islands Forces Vessel Awaynltimes.nl·2026-05-27
Nuclear alert reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: CHINA, NAVAL. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 10 sources.
- Why China is Tightening Controls on Overseas Stock Trading pafr.com·2026-05-27
Military force (coercive) reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 10 sources.
- Chinese Dissident Escape South Korea Intl Hnkcnn.com·2026-05-27
Use conventional military force reported in Henan, Henan, China. Actors: DONG, CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 4 sources.
- China President xi Hails Unbreakable Ties Praises Pakistans Role in Iran Peace Efforts as he Meets pm Shehbazphnompenhpost.com·2026-05-27
Use conventional military force reported in Shanxi, Fujian, China. Actors: PREMIER, SHANXI. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- The Maga Revolt Against ai Reveals a Deeper Battle Over Authority 05 26patriotpost.us·2026-05-26
Coerce reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: BEIJING. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 3 sources.
- u s Nonprofit Sector is Pushing Back Against an Authoritarian Playbookphilanthropy.com·2026-05-26
Arrest/detain reported in China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- China Tightens Crackdown on Cross Border Stock Tradingtheepochtimes.com·2026-05-26
Use conventional military force reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: BEIJING, INVESTOR. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 5 sources.
- Use conventional military force in Chinafreerepublic.com·2026-05-25
Use conventional military force reported in China. Actors: CHINA, FIGHTER JET. Tension (Goldstein): -10 · 10 sources.
- Americas Nonprofit Sector Pushing Back Against Authoritarian Playbookwmnf.org·2026-05-25
Arrest/detain reported in China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -5 · 4 sources.
- Chinese Ship Leaves After Tense Standoff Near Taiwan Controlled Islandsasiaone.com·2026-05-25
Nuclear alert reported in Tongji, Sichuan, China. Actors: CHINA, MILITARY. Tension (Goldstein): -7.2 · 6 sources.
- Two Railways Two Systems Hs2 And Case Socialismmorningstaronline.co.uk·2026-05-24
Demonstration/rally reported in Beijing, Beijing, China. Actors: CHINA. Tension (Goldstein): -6.5 · 4 sources.